12

Composite Score

🟢 low

Normal conditions. No specific action needed.

Layer Model Score

1 / 15

Background noise

0–3 Noise 4–6 Watch 7–9 High 10+ Break

Early Warning Layers

🏗️ +1

Structural pressure

Fuel · power · food · currency

Food price inflation

⚡ +0

Trigger event

Political · service delivery

Inactive

📱 +0

Social coordination

WhatsApp · TikTok · Facebook

Inactive

🚛 +0

Logistics disruption

N3/N2 · port · trucks · taxis

Inactive

🌧️ +0

Weather risk

Rain · flood · saturated ground

Inactive

Signal Breakdown

Weighted inputs → composite score
⚡
Load Shedding Structural 12% weight
0
📰
Unrest News Trigger 16% weight
0
0 mention(s)
🛒
Supply Shortage News Structural 8% weight
0
0 mention(s)
💱
Currency (ZAR) Structural 8% weight
25
📅
Calendar Events Trigger 6% weight
10
🚛
Logistics Disruption Logistics 14% weight
0
0 mention(s)
🌽
Food Price Inflation Structural 8% weight
54
0 mention(s)
📣
Social Media Social 10% weight
28
Sources active:

Infrastructure Corridor Status

N3 Corridor

JHB–Durban freight

— UNKNOWN

N2 Corridor

South Coast route

— UNKNOWN

Durban Port

Import/export hub

— UNKNOWN

Taxi Networks

SANTACO / NTA

— UNKNOWN

Durban Weather Risk

Weather data unavailable

24-Hour Risk Trend

How the Layer Model Works ▸

Additive Scoring

🏗️ Structural pressure+1 each (max 4)
⚡ Trigger conditions+2 if active
📱 Social coordination+3 if active
🚛 Logistics disruption+4 if active
🌧️ Weather risk+2 if active

Interpretation

0–3 → Background noise

4–6 → Watch closely

7–9 → High risk

10+ → Something is about to break

The pattern most people miss:

Crises don't fail because signals weren't there — they fail because signals were dismissed individually instead of combined.